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June 2000
New
Economy, Old
Rules?
Across the Middle
East, governments are announcing special projects designed to
attract IT investment, aware that technology has the power to
revitalise and catalyse emerging and developing economies. One
problem: for all the science parks and Internet cities, old
economy protection laws are being left in place to protect
local businesses... Has nothing actually
changed..?
Old timers who work in
the Jebel Ali Free Trade Zone remember a time when the commute
from Dubai City to the office seemed interminable. "Wide
stretches of sand to your left, gentlemen," they used to joke,
imitating tourist guides. "And if you look to your right -
more sand!" Nowadays, of course, that is no longer true. There
is much to engage the eye and the trip seems so short that
nobody naps in the company bus anymore. In fact, if they keep
their eyes open, they will see all manner of earthmoving
equipment shifting the sand to prepare the site for the Dubai
Internet City - another free trade zone, billed as "the
world's first for e-business."
It's scheduled to open in October to coincide with Gitex,
still the Middle East's biggest computer trade fair. As that
double deadline nears, exhilaration mixed with not a little
panic is the dominant mood in the IT and Internet industries.
They've all been invited to set up shop in the Internet City
and the deal being offered is decidedly sweet. 100 percent
foreign ownership. Renewable, 50-year leases on land. A
"single window" for transactions with the government. All the
mod cons required for running a business, something for which
the Dubai itself is justly famous. And then there are the
advantages that differentiate it from other free trade zones.
These indicate that it's purpose-built for what's called the
"information or knowledge-based" or, simply, the "New"
economy. To wit: an Internet University specialising on all
things "e-"; a research and technology centre to attract and
develop IT talent; and more bandwidth than any tenant will
know what to do with.
Six months before it opens, 30 percent of its 3-square
kilometer area has already been taken. And while the Internet
City Trade Zone Authority feels duty bound to keep its client
list confidential, there are no restrictions on their clients,
who eagerly want to announce their plans. In a single week,
for example, DLJdirect (an online brokerage firm) and
Planetarabia (a portal for Arabs everywhere) have said that
they will be greeting visitors from the right side of the
ribbon when it's cut.
Deciding to be in the Internet City is certainly a
no-brainer for a "dot com" - a company that has either ported
its business to the Web, or better yet, has built an entirely
new business based on Web capabilities. Most of them are
either new or new to the region. It's the other players, the
IT vendors who already have a brick-and-mortar presence
elsewhere in Dubai, who are still doing serious homework on
the cost/benefits of shifting. In the case of Compaq and Acer,
both of which have spanking new buildings in the Jebel Ali
Free Trade Zone, the swotting becomes that much harder.
"Based on the Internet City's profile of preferred
companies," said WS Mukund, senior manager of product
marketing, "Acer certainly qualifies. We're building
Internet-enabling technologies that go beyond the PC and that
will require us to provide value-added services. If these are
to be delivered over the Internet, then the bandwidth and
secure payment gateways that the Internet City will provide
become very important. However, we should be able to get the
same facilities in Jebel Ali. It would be a matter of putting
the request through to Etisalat (the local ISP) and Comtrust
(the local PKI). At the moment we're studying the matter very
carefully and three options are open: moving there, staying
here or having a presence in both."
As painful as it would be to write off a legacy investment
in brick and mortar, this is the easiest variable to quantify
for this go/no-go decision. In fact, what's truly tough is
getting a realistic assessment of what the advantages of being
in the Internet City would be. It goes back to the question of
why the Internet City differs from Dubai's other free trade
zones. And how the zones, in turn, differ from the rest of the
United Arab Emirates.
Two Worlds Pull out the tomes and the commercial
laws are clear enough. Inside the zones, a foreign company can
have 100 percent ownership; outside of it, a company must cede
51 percent ownership to a local partner to be able to conduct
business in the Emirates. Inside the zones, a foreign company
owner can repatriate 100 percent of his earnings; outside of
it, he has to apportion some of it to his partner or his
dealers. The free trade zones are meant to consolidate Dubai's
standing as the region's trading hub. The goods that either
land or are manufactured there are meant to be exported to
other countries. If, instead, they enter the United Arab
Emirates, the goods will have to be sold through a company
with a trading licence issued by the Economic Department. That
trading company would have to be 51 percent-owned by an
Emirati citizen.
Lawyers call this "dealer protection laws" and they're not
unique to the UAE. "Trading is at the core of the Arab world's
commercial heritage, and consequently every Arab country has
special laws and practices encouraging foreign suppliers to
use local sales agents and distributors," writes Howard
Stovall, a lawyer who specialises in Middle East commercial
law.
Historically, when the markets in this region were
incubating rather than emerging, selling through a local agent
made perfect sense for all the parties involved in a
transaction. The buyer, for whom the physical proximity of the
agent meant an assurance of delivery, service and support. The
seller, because the size of the markets then did not justify
the cost of setting up subsidiary offices for just delivery of
goods and the collection of payment. And the agent, because he
got part of the profit. As the markets grew, however, groups
like the World Trade Organization and the Gulf Cooperation
Council began to identify these dealer protection laws as
barriers to trade. These laws, they say, make manifest the
controversy in such issues as "the differential treatment of
local and foreign businesses; direct investment and management
in local companies; and how goods are imported and
distributed."
The Fine Print Why? As Stovall says, the bone of
contention is the clause "entitling the local sales agent to
claim compensation if the foreign party fails to provide
adequate justification for termination or non-renewal of the
relationship. This statutory right parallels, and in fact is
derived from, European laws. However, in other respects, the
protections available in Middle East countries exceed those
available in Europe. For example, in some Middle East laws, a
sales agent is given the exclusive right to import the
relevant product, to receive compensation for any parallel
import of the product by others and even to block the foreign
supplier's direct import of the product into the sales agent's
territory."
Stovall writes annual reviews on the changes in Middle
Eastern commercial law. In the latest one, he reports: "Arab
government officials are becoming increasingly sensitive to
the disadvantages of these more extreme protections, which
impede the free market, in essence allowing a sales agent to
hold the supplier and consumers hostage, even in minor
commercial disputes. In recent years, both Oman and Bahrain
amended their law to abolish the statutory requirement of
exclusivity for local sales agents. Other Middle East
countries are likely to follow suit. Interestingly, the
country with the strongest reputation for free trade, the UAE,
currently has the most onerous dealer protection law in the
region."
This contradiction is likely to be more glaring once the
Internet City gets going. As things stand, there are already
many contractual clauses that a foreign principal and his
dealer can agree upon to make the terms of their agreement
more equitable. The fact that they can negotiate, and that the
negotiated terms apply when they do begin to trade, probably
accounts for the ease of doing business in Dubai.
Demarcating territory, denying exclusivity rights and
defining the effects of termination are among the many
sticking points that can be negotiated. New entrants to the
country, for example, very seldom award exclusive rights to
distribution any more. They've learnt that lesson from the
painful experience of others who did so, say, 15 years ago and
are now "boxing with one hand tied behind their back."
Arriving at a clearly worded agreement about how to
terminate a relationship is especially important because the
dealer protection laws can be vague. Listen to this: "The
dealer is entitled to compensation if the foreign principal
wants to terminate the relationship without just cause." How
much compensation? On the basis of historical, current or
projected earnings? "Just cause" would refer to the agent's
inadequate or non-performance. Again, however, unless
quantifiable measures of performance are defined at the
outset, the foreign principal may have to pay heavily for his
oversight later on. "Under some of these laws," writes
Stovall, "terminated commercial agents may also be entitled to
block the foreign principal's imports pending an amicable
settlement or court judgement."
The New Economy Champions of free trade have
always looked towards legislation and groups like the World
Trade Organization to knock down barriers to global trade. Now
the law is majestic - which accounts for the stately pace at
which it proceeds. And the WTO can be perceived as taking
sides, which accounts for the way public opinion about it
dips, peaks or is divided according to camp. Information
technology, as manifest in the Internet, is not represented,
regulated or created by any one group. As such, it seems to
have a mind of its own, capable even of creating a "New
Economy" with dizzying speed.
What is the "New Economy"? Alas, as with all
newfangled concepts, this one has about as many meanings as
there are trend spotters - including those who would deny that
the New Economy is any different from the old. The first among
its supporters was Peter Drucker who, in 1969, "perceived the
arrival of knowledge workers and information's superior role
(rather than the material resources or capital) in creating
wealth." Two years ago, technology journalist Kevin Kelly
extended this idea by emphasising the value of networks or
connections.
"The grand irony of our times is that the era of computers
is over. All the major consequences of standalone computers
have already taken place. Computers have speeded up our lives
a bit, and that's it," he wrote in his "New Rules for the New
Economy". He continues, "In contrast, all the most promising
technologies making their debut now are chiefly due to
communication between computers - that is, to connections
rather than to computations. And since communication is the
basis of culture, fiddling at this level is indeed momentous."
"And fiddle we do. The technology we first invented to
crunch spreadsheets has been hijacked to connect our isolated
selves instead. Information's critical re-arrangement is the
widespread, relentless act of connecting everything to
everything else. We are now engaged in a grand scheme to
augment, amplify, enhance and extend the relationships and
communications between all things and all objects."
The most binding relationships being forged by the Internet
are commercial - whether it's a business electronically linked
to another business or one that's open to a global market of
consumers. This would be hyperbole if investors were not
richly rewarding the builders of networks and if the companies
who take New Economy principles to heart were not raking it in
by consistently beating market estimates. Adrian Slywotzky, a
vice-president at Mercer Management Consulting, identifies
some of the "poster boys" who were first to re-jigger their
business models in an economy which "prizes superior business
models above superior products or technology."
Among them is General Electric, which decided that if it
were to grow, it had to shift from production to creating
services and solutions. Now the company is trying to "add more
value to the customer with a digital business design." Then
there's Cisco which "makes 70 percent of its revenue
electronically, but understands that digital business design
is not just about the selling step. It's the whole system...
Cisco CEO John Chambers spends 40 percent of his time with
customers. Not just with satisfied customers, but more
important, with dissatisfied customers - to understand why
Cisco isn't measuring up and in which direction the customer
is headed. The best business-design innovators are always
outside listening to or arguing with their customers. They get
more of the data directly, to understand what the next two or
three patterns of strategic change in their industry are going
to be."
And there's Dell which "has always been a lean company. Its
working capital as a percent of sales in the
early-to-mid-1990s was 12 to 14 percent. By moving to a
digital business design, Dell achieved negative working
capital. They moved from direct to direct electronic. We're
talking about customers paying Dell in a couple of days and
Dell paying its suppliers in 20 or 30 days. Most important,
we're talking about the cutting down of cycles wherever
possible not just externally, vis-a-vis the customer, but
internally, in what the company does." Macroeconomics has a
wonderful way of distilling case studies. Dr. Sushil Wadhwani,
who is a Monetary Policy Committee Member of the Bank of
England, wrote a paper on "The Impact of the Internet on UK
Inflation." What the Internet does, he said, is "lower search
costs, reduce barriers to entry and help shorten the supply
chain."
Or, as PC Week's John Dodge said, "Maybe something more
fundamental is going on, such as control returning to where
most of the value is created."
The Internet City can't be the Internet Ghetto Now that
Dubai has an Internet City, will the dynamics of the New
Economy operate within it - particularly that which shortens
the supply chain? That's a given. So the real question to ask
is this: will this new economy break through the perimeter
walls of the Internet City and spread to the Emirate
containing it? Specifically, will electronic commerce, which
opens a direct line of communication between vendor and
customer, eventually eliminate the middleman even if the law
protects him?
We put the question to Stovall, who with a true lawyer's
caution, gave the caveat that he didn't have a copy of the
Internet City Regulations and would give an opinion based only
on his knowledge on how computer companies in other free zones
are allowed to sell to Dubai. "I would think you might begin
to conceptualise some of the issues along the following lines:
foreign companies licensed to do business in the Internet
City, like in Jebel Ali, are not authorised to conduct
commercial activities 'on-shore' the UAE. Consequently, a
foreign company licensed only in the Internet City should not
be able to freely conduct business 'on-shore' the UAE, such as
visiting and consulting with clients on-shore the UAE or
performing projects at the client's on-shore facilities."
"Probably some limited activities along those lines already
take place by computer companies from Western countries,
without a local business registration - such as through brief
sporadic visits by expatriate staff on tourist visas. Perhaps
some similar 'de minimis' on-shore activity would be tolerated
from the Internet City companies, but I believe any major
changes would require a shake-up in the current business
registration rules."
He continued: "As for hardware imports, I expect that the
same rules would apply to the Internet City as apply to Jebel
Ali - imports are deemed coming from off-shore and, just like
imports from the Far East or Europe, must clear customs before
entering the country. Software imports are a bit more
interesting - if loaded on the software and valued as part of
the product cost, customs will obviously be assessed. Software
downloaded into the UAE from an Internet site outside the UAE
very well may fall outside the customs department's ability to
record the transaction. The same result might apply if the Web
site is 'located' in the Internet City and thus arguably
off-shore the UAE. Companies established in the Internet City,
like companies in Europe or the US, should not need an
on-shore UAE business registration to consult by telephone,
fax and email to clients on-shore the UAE."
Software and services, indeed, make for the biggest dilemma
- especially since the preferred Internet tenant is one who
traffics in knowledge and value-added services rather than
just physical goods. As part of our research on software
availability as well as how the commercial laws apply to goods
bought online, we bought an operating system from a software
maker who does not have a Middle East representative. The CD
containing the software landed on our desk two days after we
placed the order - delivered by Federal Express who, like us,
were not notified by Customs that someone had to pay a tax.
Note that there was a physical transfer of goods but, like a
download from the Internet, this transaction did not register
as a bleep in any of the government's radars.
The Internet City Trade Zone Authority has also encouraged
content developers, those who tend CRM sites and call centres
as well as other support organisations to locate their
operations in the City. These companies, by their very nature,
have no need for a middleman. That, and the fact that they
will not be required to have a local partner in the Internet
City, has made speculative thinking a sport in many a
Dubai-based company that may not have even built a Web site
yet. "Old Economy" content developers, in particular, might be
tempted to re-invent themselves given the limited number of
trade licences issued by the Economic Department to publishing
and advertising houses.
The Dubai Ports Authority (DPA) and the Jebel Ali Free
Trade Zone (JAFTZ) are also getting directly involved in the
building of business-to-business portals (see Network News,
page 72). They're in such a hurry to do so that the site will
have to be hosted in the United States pending the opening of
the Dubai Internet City in October. Oracle will provide the
hosting platform and the software technology. Asked about what
the implications are of business-to-business sites providing a
direct link between vendor and customer, Oracle's regional
manager Husam Dajani says that he expects transactions to go
by the old rules. And the goods presumably to go through the
old channels.
Commerce One, on the other hand, is not a home grown
business-to-business portal. But their clients, like General
Motors, Shell and Ford, are not without customers in this
region; and the local offices of Schlumberger, among others,
are in search of customers abroad. So Commerce One too are
setting up office in Dubai, although whether it will be in the
Internet City or the city proper has not been decided. We
posed the same question to the managing director. And what he
said was: "It's early days yet to say whether the agency laws
will protect the local market from e-commerce, whether it's
business-to-business or business-to-consumer. But a Penguin
paperback will get to you from Amazon even if there are
booksellers here who have distributorship rights to Penguin.
How is any middleman different from a dealer who is selling
just books? All of them will have to re-think their business
and find a way to add value to make revenue as e-commerce
provides an infrastructure for people to trade."
"There is no exclusivity on the Internet and anybody who
wants to maintain exclusivity will fail because what the
Internet does is promote competition on a global scale.
Anybody who doesn't want that, or is afraid of it, should take
the cable that connects this country to the Internet and cut
it." |