RONXVILLE, N.Y. — 
            As expected, Vice President Dick Cheney's mission to the Middle East 
            has been drawn into the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The Bush 
            administration appears to have seen this coming and has reacted with 
            speed and skill. President Bush rebuked Israel on Wednesday for its 
            invasion of Palestinian territory. The administration also authored 
            a Security Council resolution, which passed, calling for a 
            cease-fire and "affirming a vision of a region where two states, 
            Israel and Palestine, live side by side." The State Department 
            called for a "complete withdrawal" of Israeli forces from 
            Palestinian areas, and the president's envoy, Gen. Anthony Zinni, 
            arrived last night to help broker a cease-fire.
            These developments do not mean the Iraq focus is lost, only that 
            any major American policy initiative in the region must pass through 
            Israel and Palestine if it is to get anywhere else. Egypt, Saudi 
            Arabia and other pro-American powers fear that the Palestinian 
            predicament, televised every day, will rally the Islamist opposition 
            and other alienated people within their societies — and will 
            exacerbate their crises of authority, exposing their many flaws as 
            well as their subservience to the United States.
            Time and again, Palestine has been used and abused by Arab rulers 
            and their opponents as a political tool to garner public support. It 
            is one of the most important identity issues in Arab politics, which 
            is why competing social forces in Egypt or Saudi Arabia, for 
            example, often distinguish themselves from each other by how they 
            talk about Israel. Genuine local concerns in these countries — 
            problems of modernization, relations with the West, the appropriate 
            social roles of religion, the balance between national and Arab 
            identities — are often defined in relation to Palestine and Israel, 
            as if the problems were really there and not in Cairo or Riyadh. 
            This is without question a dysfunctional way of practicing politics. 
            But it is real enough and cannot be ignored, certainly not if the 
            American goal is to change an Arab regime in Baghdad.
            The actual conflict between Israel and Palestine may or may not 
            be at a turning point. But the ability of Arab states to deal 
            domestically with the intensification of that conflict may indeed be 
            at such a point. Arab League members are now speaking very seriously 
            of normalizing relations with Israel. For the first time in this 
            hundred-year struggle between Arabs and the Jewish state, a 
            consensus exists in the Arab world regarding peace with Israel, 
            based not on the previous land-for-peace formula but on full 
            normalization of cultural, economic and political relations between 
            the protagonists. 
            Today the Arab establishment, even former hard-liners like Syria 
            and Libya, accepts a settlement that recognizes the existence of 
            Israel and its integration into the regional landscape. The Saudi 
            Arabian peace initiative, anchored within this new vision, has been 
            embraced by pivotal Arab states, including Syria. Although the 
            Syrian regime kept silent at first, President Bashar Assad has since 
            fully endorsed the proposal. Neither the pariah Iraqi regime nor 
            Iran, both of which oppose the current peace process, has criticized 
            the Saudi plan. It is more than likely that the Arab League will 
            ratify this consensus at its meeting later this month.
            Arab leaders recognize the need to offer full peace for full 
            withdrawal to the pre-1967 borders. Arab officials are also reported 
            to entertain accepting the Jewish state's sovereignty over the 
            Wailing Wall and Jewish neighborhoods in East Jerusalem. The right 
            of return for Palestinian refugees and the precise frontiers of the 
            state of Palestine would be worked out directly by Palestinian and 
            Israeli negotiators.
            While success is not assured, this shift in the Arab position 
            lays the foundation for a breakthrough. Previously, the Arab 
            consensus was that peace with Israel did not require full 
            normalization. It was claimed that Arabs would be unable to bear 
            seeing the Israeli flag above embassies in Damascus, Riyadh, Beirut 
            and Algiers. This belief no longer holds.
            The new Arab approach provides Palestinian leaders with crucial 
            political and cultural support to help them accept and sell 
            compromises on the painful question of refugees and on adjustment of 
            borders, and to help them parry opposition from Hamas, Islamic Jihad 
            and other Islamists. The new stance should also reassure Israelis of 
            the pacific intentions of their neighbors and prepare them to make 
            concessions like the recognition of East Jerusalem as capital of 
            Palestine and the removal of most West Bank settlements. 
            Even if the present Israeli and Palestinian leadership is unable 
            to seize the new momentum, the Saudi initiative, if developed 
            further, would dramatically shift political dynamics in both 
            societies. Neither Ariel Sharon nor Yasir Arafat could survive 
            politically if he were to oppose a sweeping settlement firmly backed 
            by the United States and the Arab nations. Despite the terrible 
            recent bloodshed, a great many people in both societies still 
            support the peace process.
            Capitalizing on this momentum will serve American vital 
            interests. Helping to resolve this prolonged conflict will remove 
            one of Muslims' major grievances against the United States — and, 
            over time, ease the security obsessions of many Arab nations and 
            Israel as well. It might even gain Arab support for a change of 
            regime in Iraq, should that seem necessary. By taking risks on 
            Mideast peace, this administration's war on terrorism could be made 
            more effective and less costly.
            Fawaz A. Gerges, a professor at Sarah Lawrence College, is 
            author of "The Islamists and the West."