Friday, November 15, 2002
November / 2002
Archive / November - 2002 / Close Up

Feeding the TV Habit
writer: Réhab El-Bakry
photographer: Silvia Dogliani, Mohsen Allam

Egypt's glut of roof-top satellite dishes hasn't translated into profits for the burgeoning industry - at least not yet

Photographer: Mohsen Allam
Media guru Emad Eddin Adib
Egypt's airwaves may not be as cluttered as North America's, but they're fast approaching it. Stand on any tall building in virtually any Cairo neighborhood - even in lower-middle-class districts - and look down on the rooftops surrounding you. You'll invariably find a cluster of dishes pointed toward the heavens, capturing European and American programming, international news feeds and last Ramadan's most popular soaps for notoriously television-hungry Egyptians. Even in the capital's poorest neighborhoods, coffee shops frequently invest in satellite dishes to lure customers for Egypt's equivalent of must-see TV: football matches.

Egypt may be an emerging economy, but our hunger for television bloomed early on. There are an estimated 19.2 million television sets in the Middle East today, and some private-sector analysts say about 63% of Egyptians have ready access to a television, with 8.5 million household sets recorded last year. Media guru Emad Eddin Adib, the force behind the financial daily Al-Alam Al-Youm and a senior adviser to satellite broadcaster Orbit Television, says an even higher percentage, more than 86% or some 58 million of the country's 67 million inhabitants, spend the first three hours after their Ramadan iftars watching television.

And while terrestrial broadcasting, the 100% monopoly of the state-owned Egyptian Radio and Television Union (ERTU), is still king, private-sector satellite broadcasters are beginning to make a mark, if not money.

Hussein Amin, chairman of the department of mass communications and journalism at AUC, says the roots of Egypt's TV habit are purely cultural.

"We are visually oriented. It is no wonder that in the past 10 years we have witnessed the birth of a large number of [satellite] television channels. We have also seen an increase in the number of satellite channels throughout the region," says Amin, who is the very definition of an industry insider. In addition to his job at AUC, he holds the posts of chairman of the international division of the Broadcast Education Association and senior adviser to Minister of Information Safwat El-Sherif, among others.

"Arabs are very attached to their news sources," Amin continues, "so newspapers have high circulation numbers and radio is still a strong medium in this region, although it has lost its place in many of other societies. But we have had strong viewership ever since the introduction of television; the number of consumers increased when the price of the television set decreased, which it has steadily done over the past few years."

The fact that traditional family values have a tighter grip on the Arab world than they do on Europe, he adds, ensures that more people spend more time at home - watching television. Satellite broadcasters have moved to take advantage of that fact, and while analysts say few today are operating in the black, profitability is likely around the corner as the Middle East and North Africa approach a satellite dish density high enough to attract serious advertisers.

"Public television was, as the name implies, public. It was geared towards mass consumption, and in every country in this region, its content was strictly monitored by state censors," explains Amin. "That situation held until the early 1990s when we saw Middle Eastern governments allowing citizens to own satellite dishes. That marks the beginning of private television channels in this region."

Targeting an audience
From the outset, this first generation of private broadcasters sought audiences of uniformly A and A/B consumers, those with the highest household income and the most discretionary spending power. The mechanics of watching satellite TV dictated the audience: While viewers can tune in to terrestrial television broadcasters with nothing more complicated than a pair of vintage rabbit-ear antennae, those tuning in to satellite channels, even free-to-air ones, faced large, up-front cash outlays.

When the import of satellite dishes was first made legal in 1996, a decoder and dish cost in the neighborhood of LE 10,000 to LE 15,000 for a basic setup. That same setup now costs as little as LE 2500 (and some subscription-only broadcasters will provide free dishes to those purchasing a company-supplied decoder and long-term subscription), still enough to limit viewers to the nation's economic elite.

But that elite is growing. A 2001 survey of 36 countries in the Middle East, North Africa and Europe conducted by European satellite operator Eutelsat found 122 million homes had access to satellite or cable television, a figure equal to about 41% of all homes with TVs and a 3-percentage-point rise over 2000. Penetration has grown about 8% per year since 1994.

Although Western Europe has the highest penetration rate at 53%, the Middle East and North Africa followed at 35% compared to just 27% in Eastern Europe. The MENA region also posted the fastest rate of growth, with penetration jumping 23% between 2000 and 2001. While cable still accounts for 58% of all 122 million homes with cable or satellite access, those with satellite reception grew to 54.3 million homes last year, a 3.7% increase over 2000.

As for Egypt? The figures are dodgy, but a United Nations report said Egypt had 150,000 home satellite dishes in 1996, a figure that grew to 669,000 in 1999, and satellite broadcasters with whom Business Today Egypt spoke put the number in the 2 million range today, or roughly one dish for every 33 Egyptians.

"I was the first person to introduce these talk shows that allow people to call in and participate live on air," Adib claims.
ARTform
Predictably, the Egyptian government was the first to move into satellite broadcasting in Egypt, with the launch of NileSat 101 in April 1998. Back then, the idea that Egypt might grant private licenses to satellite broadcasters was as fanciful as the thought that ERTU would give up its terrestrial broadcasting monopoly. But when NileSat 102 launched a little over two years later, Cabinet decided to allow private companies to bid for satellite broadcasting licenses. El-Mehwar was first out of the gate in February 2001, followed by Dream TV 1 and Dream TV 2, all three free-to-air.

But the first to air was Arab Radio and Television (ART), launched in 1993, and perhaps the most widely viewed private satellite channel serving the Arab world. Widely seen as the leading producer of Arabic-language family programming, ART began broadcasting with five channels in Europe and the Middle East carried on ArabSat. It has since moved into world-class broadcast facilities in Avezzano, Italy, from which it has launched a range of commercial and niche channels that produce more than 6000 live and recorded shows every year.

Samy Abdel Aziz is the head of Cairo University's Mass Communication Department and a marketing and research adviser to ART chief Saleh Kamel. Abdel Aziz says that when ART was first introduced, even its most staunch backers knew it was a gamble.

"We were among the first to introduce the free-to-air satellite channels," Abdel Aziz says. "We began with broadcasting to the region to gauge how receptive the market was to channels that had no government agenda, but were more in the business of entertainment. The market was extremely receptive because there was a sense, at least among the more economically well-off, that this content was not designed to further any specific agenda. Instead, we were in the business of disseminating entertainment, and we varied ourselves as much as possible to attract as many viewers as possible."

From the word go, company officials say, ART knew it would have to rely on advertising for the bulk of its revenues.

"We have had great success attracting a variety of advertisers on both a national and pan-Arab level, which was something that national television could not offer," says Alaa El-Kahky, the general manager of Arab Reach Media Services, which sells air time for ART channels in Egypt. "This allowed companies to achieve a couple of goals: first to reach a certain social group, and second to tap into a completely different market to which you can export your product.

"We never aimed to replace local television stations for advertising," El-Kahky continues, "We were just an option to reach a targeted audience, which is something that companies never had before." Of ART's Egyptian clients, El-Kahky estimates 70% are targeting ads at A-class consumers in Egypt while 30% are looking to broaden their name recognition in Arab nations.

Photographer: Mohsen Allam
Hussein Amin, chairman of the department of mass communications and journalism at AUC
Distant profitability
"The content was the key to bringing in both the audience and the advertisers," says AUC's Amin, "that's why many of these satellite channels began with entertainment and moved on to 'infotainment,' - information dissemination disguised as entertainment. This was completely new to this market and was pioneered by ART, Orbit and so on. These were the programs that really kept the audience interested and the more interested they are, the more advertisers you'll get."

Orbit's Emad Eddin Adib is generally credited with having pioneered the infotainment approach that some broadcasters claim attracts 10 million viewers on a good night. (In the absence of an audience-tracking research group, there is no way to independently verify industry viewership claims. More on that in a moment.) A journalist by training, Adib sees satellite television as the first step in a revolution that will eventually break the state's cookie-cutter approach to television.

"I was the first person to introduce these talk shows that allowed people to call in and participate with their opinions or questions," Adib claims. "It was the first time for television to be a two-way communication tool rather than a way to just disseminate information."

"We are visually oriented. It is no wonder that in 10 years we have witnessed the birth of a large number of [satellite] TV channels," says Amin.
But if you think the popularity of talk television is translating into profits, think again. Satellite broadcasters face steep infrastructure and licensing costs. The easiest way to get on air in the Middle East is through one of the NileSats, solely owned by the Egyptian government, or via ArabSat, a joint venture by several Arab governments including Egypt. A NileSat license costs in the neighborhood of LE 500,000 per channel per signal per year, analysts say, and basic infrastructure costs fall in the LE 10-20 million range.

"If you are going into the broadcasting business for money, then you are wrong," says Adib. "It is a very expensive business, not only because of the amount of money and time it takes to get the actual license but because everything else is very expensive."

"You need studios and qualified personnel to provide you with high-quality content, which is what brings in the viewers. I will tell you right now, the amount of advertising we get is not nearly enough to make this a good revenue-generating business."

Production costs for a high-quality talk show start at LE 50,000 per hour. Set that against $450-700 (LE 2029-3157) for a 60-second commercial on an encrypted satellite channel or $2500-4000 (LE 1125-18,040) for the same spot on a free-to-air channel and you get the idea. By comparison, a 60-second spot on state-owned television can cost as much as LE 80,000 for the coveted block that airs immediately before popular soap-opera series. (For more on soap operas, see "When Soaps Get In Your Eyes," Egypt Today, page 72).

Cairo University's Adbel Aziz agrees with Adib, saying there isn't a single satellite channel that he is aware of that makes enough from advertising to cover its costs.

"Not even the government-owned satellite channels generate enough [ad] revenue to cover their costs. That is why in the mid-1990s, many satellite channels became encrypted and began to depend on subscriptions. The way we see it is that our target audience is someone who can afford a satellite dish and can therefore afford to pay to see the content they want. That was the trend that this market began to depend on. It's the subscriptions that generate revenue, definitely not the ads."

El Kahky says that most companies see satellite channels as backups for their campaigns but rely primarily on national television to get their message out.

"Advertisers are after the masses, and we are certainly not the masses," he says. "We might reach the rich and powerful in society, but they still make up less than 5% of the population, at least in Egypt. There is power in numbers. Egyptian television will always be the tool to reach the masses," he says, suggesting that only 3.5 million Egyptians have access to encrypted satellite channels. For its part, ART has 200,000 subscribers in Egypt and as many as 1 million worldwide.

Limited influence
Satellite channels' narrow audience is one reason why the Egyptian and other Arab governments hardly see the private-sector broadcasters as political or economic rivals.

"Let's take Egyptian government television as an example," says Adib. "They allow us to use the airways, but they control ground transmission. When you have more than 85% of the population living on very limited incomes, the government is well aware that they will not be too influenced by satellite channels, because most potential viewers just don't have access. They will not be affected by the ideas in the programming, nor will their consumer habits be affected by what advertisers say on our airwaves. The government broadcasts to everyone; we broadcast to a selected few."

Advertisers are aware of the satellite broadcasters' limited reach, says MobiNil CEO Osman Sultan, but the channels nonetheless play an important role in highly targeted ad campaigns.

"I think that all advertisers are aware that government television is the best way to reach the masses," says Sultan, "but we at MobiNil think that we have to reach our consumers through as many platforms as possible. Just like we conduct research on what ads to run during which shows, we conduct research to see what ads to run on which channels." Satellite channels may not attract the lion's share of his business, but Sultan says they cannot be ignored.

One of the problems in courting big spenders like MobiNil is the fact that many satellite broadcasters can't offer figures on how many viewers they attract, let alone provide demographic profiles of their viewers or who is watching what and when. And there's no independent ratings agency either, meaning advertisers have to rely on media planners' subjective pitches when it comes to which shows and timeslots to chose.

Not even AC Nielsen, the world's premiere television research agency, has numbers. Ghada Soliman, managing director of AC Nielsen Egypt in Cairo, says there is no syndicated market research available because "We don't have the rating week like they do in the US, which basically determines what the audience tunes into at any given time."

"A specific client might hire us to do market research for their product," Soliman says, "where we would then conduct a very specific study, based on which we recommend [how] they plan their advertising. Other times we will research how a specific product will perform on a specific channel or during a specific period of the day, and we sell the results of that research. But there is no overall study conducted to rate viewership of either government or satellite channels."

Sultan says that puts the onus of profiling a given show's viewers and providing a "guesstimate" of the number who watch it on advertisers' own market research divisions or their outside consultants. "It is based on this information that we decide what ad should run, when, and how often," he concludes.

Photographer: Mohsen Allam
Alaa El-Kahky, the general manager of Arab Reach Media Services
Paying through the nose
With advertising unlikely to prove a viable revenue stream until satellite viewership grows, many broadcasters have turned to offering what the industry calls "bouquets" of encrypted channels on a monthly subscription basis.

"There is a global trend towards specialized channels," says Amin. "As the number of satellite channels increases, so too will the consumer's demand for the type of programming they want to watch. For example, if you enjoy sports, you will not enjoy watching soap operas. Instead, you will flip from one channel to the other until you find a sport you enjoy. As far as the station is concerned, it is losing that member of the audience, and that means one fewer consumer for the advertisers on that channel. That is why in the mid- and late-1990s, satellite broadcasters became more geared towards specialized television."

ART was the first private-sector player to offer subscription services for specialized movie, sports, family and other channels. "The way we saw it is that the audience will pay to see decent content," explains Abdel Aziz. "The more you tailor this content to the taste of your viewer, the more viewers you will get and the more they will pay for the service. That was the idea behind ART's specialized channels. That knowledge allowed us to encrypt the channels in order to make money off subscriptions, but it also allowed us to provide advertisers with an even better tool to reach their audience."

"We never aimed to replace local television stations for advertising," El-Kahky says. "We were just an option to reach a targeted audience."
And the rising popularity of credit cards on the Egyptian market has provided satellite broadcasters with an even better tool with which to bill their audience. Today, most subscribers pay by credit card, not monthly payments that have to be made in person at one of the broadcaster's local offices. Industry insiders say credit-card billing has reduced "churn" - the number of subscribers who allow their subscription to lapse through non-payment - it has dropped more than 45% for most broadcasters in the past 18 months as more subscribers are billed automatically each month.

That level of security, to say nothing of the need to create the perception that subscribers are getting value for their money, led ART to buy the Arab-world broadcast rights for the African Cup Championship through 2004. Practically, this means anyone who wants to watch the games must buy an ART subscription or go somewhere with a subscription to watch the games.

That move boosted viewership for ART Sports and gave advertising a nudge, but the broadcaster's similar play for the exclusive rights to the phenomenally popular 2002 World Cup led to a public backlash in Egypt. ERTU eventually stepped in and bought additional rights to broadcast many of the games.

The private sector's focus on specialized channels forced ERTU and other governments to play the game as well, Amin says. "The government might have control of the information being disseminated on the terrestrial channels, but it was imperative for it to have a share of the information being transmitted via satellite as well. That's why the Egyptian government first launched its satellite specialty channels. This was both an attempt by the government to tap into the advertising market and a bid to introduce change within its content."

With specialty channels targeting A and A/B consumers, the government had the chance to experiment with alternative messages, Amin says. "That's why you saw the introduction of social talk shows on the national channels. While these talk shows never discuss political issues, they allow for analysis, and on occasion criticism, of the social status quo," he says.

Censorship-free?
It's the uncensored nature of satellite feeds that those in the industry think is most attractive to viewers.

"The ability to watch a movie or a show without censorship is still a good marketing feature for many satellite services," says El-Kahky, "because many people resent being told what they can and cannot watch. This does not mean that the content is for adults only, but this means that the content can contain as much or as little criticism of the political and social status quo in any country - and no government can control it."

Satellite television is built on self-censorship, meaning the channels' owners have to make conscious decisions about the type of content that best suits their audiences.

"Because we do not fall under any government form of censorship, this gives complete creative freedom to the owners of the channel as well as those working there," says Adib. "It means that you have to be a responsible and ethical broadcaster. It also means that no one can do anything to prevent you from broadcasting. That is both a privilege and a responsibility," he adds, warning that the line between news, entertainment and sensationalism is often fuzzy.

It's that conflict between ethics and sensationalism that has sparked debate over whether satellite television fills real information gaps for Middle East audiences. Al-Jazeera, the Qatar-based Arabic-language news service often called the "CNN of the Middle East," is the most high-profile example, but Dream TV has also started to make international headlines.

Dream, majority owned by development tycoon Ahmed Bahgat (ERTU is the only other shareholder at 10%), is no stranger to controversy here at home. Styling itself as the channel unafraid to walk where other purveyors of infotainment fear to tread, Dream landed high-profile Mohamed Hassanein Heikal - the dean of Egyptian journalists who is both the former editor of Al-Akhbar daily and was once a senior adviser to Nasser - and respected journalist Hamdy Kandil. Both host shows known for their willingness to tackle controversial issues, but it is Dream vice president Hala Sarhan who tends to draw the biggest audiences with her own talk show. (For more on Sarhan's controversial talk show, see "Telling The Truth," page 39).

"Dream is different. They present a lot of information that is socially shocking," says Amin. "Not to say that there is no market for these kinds of shows, but it just illustrates the varied sense and degrees of censorship that satellite television can offer."

At press time, Dream was the focus of an international controversy after a prominent American Jewish lobby condemned as "anti-Semitic" Dream's upcoming Ramadan serial "Horse Without Horsemen," the broadcaster's first in-house drama production.

Abraham H. Foxman, national director of the Anti-Defamation League of B'nai B'rith, demanded that the Bush administration and European governments pressure Egypt to ban the broadcast. Foxman and other US Jewish groups were outraged that the 41-part series, co-written by noted actor Mohammed Sobhi and Mohamed Baghdadi and scheduled to air this month, uses the Protocols of the Elders of Zion as a plot device in its story of one Egyptian's resistance to British occupation and Zionism between 1855 and 1917.

Officials at the Ministry of Information were unavailable for comment at press time, but government spokesman Nabil Osman told the New York Times that the Jewish lobby's complaint was "the same old gimmick - to raise the issue of anti-Semitism when it's convenient." Saying the state had no plans to prevent the broadcast, Osman noted, "There is a world of difference" between anger at Israel's policies toward Palestine and anti-Semitism.

Al-Jazeera is no stranger to that sort of controversy. The news channel gained international notoriety in the opening days of the second intifada in September 2000 as it boldly criticized several Middle Eastern governments for their reactions to events unfolding in Palestine. Al-Jazeera's reporters also interviewed several Israeli politicians and analysts, something few other Arab broadcasters have attempted before or since.

The broadcaster's international notoriety grew after 9/11 as Al-Qaeda chose to release videos and statements to Al-Jazeera first, prompting CNN to offer the broadcaster a partner agreement.

"Al-Jazeera is a very interesting example because it is a satellite channel that is considered a national channel in Qatar, but it is also considered an Arab news channel," explains Amin. "It was not the first Arab news channel, but it was the first to gain a reputation for controversial content. As a matter of fact, their office in Jordan was shut down after they aired a program about the Jordanian royal family, and it is rumored that the Saudi government withdrew its representatives from Qatar because of several shows that aired about the Kingdom."

Amin says that while Al-Jazeera says its mission is the pursuit of the truth, it is also sensationalist.

"They might have their facts straight, but they are not always making the best decisions when it comes to packaging this information, which completely breaks with broadcast traditions in the region. What is perplexing is that they never look at the files of Qatar itself or criticize any of the decisions of that government. So it's not a matter of principle," Amin says, although the Qatari royal family's backing of the station may have something to do with that silence.

And if the airwaves seem cluttered today, wait until the next generation of Al-Jazeera and Dream TV copycats spring onto the scene.

"You haven't seen cluttered yet," says Amin. "Right now, we have encrypted channels, and soon you will get more pay-per-view shows, which are only available on a limited basis at the moment. These channels will become such major players that they will no longer be viewed as advertising supplements to national television, but rather the backbone of specialized advertising." bt


Business Today Egypt, Copyright IBA-media 2002. Contact: Webmaster@BusinessTodayEgypt.com